Assessing the foundations for predicting tourist arrivals in Egypt

Seasonality in Tourism and Forecasting Foreign Tourist Arrivals in India

In the present age of globalization, technology-revolution and sustainable development, the presence of seasonality in tourist arrivals is considered as a key policy issue that affects the global tourism industry by creating instability in the demand and revenues. The seasonal component in a time-series distorts the prediction attempts for policy-making. In this context, it is quintessential to...

Forecasting tourist arrivals to Turkey

Modeling and forecasting techniques of the tourist arrivals are many and diverse. Th ere is no unique model that exactly outperforms the other models in every situation. Actually a few studies have realized modeling and forecasting the tourist arrivals to Turkey and these studies have not focused on the total tourist arrivals. Th ese studies have focused on the tourist arrivals to Turkey countr...

Advanced Computational Approaches for Predicting Tourist Arrivals: the Case of Charter Air-Travel

Forecasting U.S. Tourist Arrivals using Singular Spectrum

5 This paper introduces Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) for tourism demand forecasting 6 via an application into total monthly U.S. Tourist arrivals from 1996-2012. The global 7 tourism industry is today, a key driver of foreign exchange inflows to an economy. Here, we 8 compare the forecasting results from SSA with those from ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing 9 (ETS) and Neural Networks (NN). We f...

Modelling Multivariate Shocks in International Tourist Arrivals to the Maldives

In the Maldives, although there were fewer fatalities compared with other countries in the Indian Ocean that were affected by the tsunami, there was widespread damage to housing and infrastructure. As a result, 14 islands out of the 200 inhabited islands were made completely uninhabitable. Approximately 5% of the population was displaced, a quarter of the tourist resorts were closed, and 8% of ...